アカデミー賞ノミネーション直前予想
2006年 01月 31日
ドキドキしながら待っています。
いろいろなところで直前予想がされているので、僕も考えてみたのですが、もうあまり時間がないので、オスカー予想サイト「AND THE WINNER IS」からちょっと予想を拝借して貼り付けさせて貰います。
前哨戦の結果を重要なものからランクをつけて考えると、同じような結果になるのかもしれませんね。
ちなみに、僕があっとランダムに挙げた作品賞候補(この中から絞り込もうと思っていました)は、ブロークバック・マウンテン、グッドナイト&グッドラック、クラッシュ、ウォーク・ザ・ライン/君につづく道、ミュンヘン、カポーティ、ヒストリー・オブ・バイオレンス、The Constant Gardener、キング・コング、シンデレラマン、プライドと偏見、シリアナ、といったところでした。
さて、どうなることやら、ホント楽しみです。
★BEST PICTURE
1. Brokeback Mountain
2. The Constant Gardener
3. Crash
4. Good Night, and Good Luck
5. Walk the Line
ALTERNATE Capote
POTENTIAL SHOCKER Cinderella Man
DESERVES TO BE HERE The Squid and the Whale
★BEST DIRECTOR
1. George Clooney (Good Night, and Good Luck)
2. Paul Haggis (Crash)
3. Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)
4. Fernando Meirelles (The Constant Gardener)
5. Steven Spielberg (Munich)
ALTERNATE Bennett Miller (Capote)
POTENTIAL SHOCKER Woody Allen (Match Point)
DESERVES TO BE HERE Peter Jackson (King Kong)
★BEST ACTOR
1. Russell Crowe (Cinderella Man)
2. Philip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)
3. Heath Ledger (Brokeback Mountain)
4. Joaquin Phoenix (Walk the Line)
5. David Strathairn (Good Night, and Good Luck)
ALTERNATE Terrence Howard (Hustle and Flow)
POTENTIAL SHOCKER Ralph Fiennes (The Constant Gardener)
DESERVES TO BE HERE Jeff Daniels (The Squid and the Whale)
★BEST ACTRESS
1. Judi Dench (Mrs. Henderson Presents)
2. Felicity Huffman (Transamerica)
3. Keira Knightley (Pride and Prejudice)
4. Charlize Theron (North Country)
5. Reese Witherspoon (Walk the Line)
ALTERNATE Ziyi Zhang (Memoirs of a Geisha)
POTENTIAL SHOCKER Juliette Binoche (Cache)
DESERVES TO BE HERE Joan Allen (The Upside of Anger)
★BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
1. George Clooney (Syriana)
2. Matt Dillon (Crash)
3. Paul Giamatti (Cinderella Man)
4. Jake Gyllenhaal (Brokeback Mountain)
5. Terrence Howard (Crash)
ALTERNATE William Hurt (A History of Violence)
POTENTIAL SHOCKER Clifton Collins, Jr. (Capote)
DESERVES TO BE HERE Kevin Costner (The Upside of Anger)
★BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1. Amy Adams (Junebug)
2. Scarlett Johansson (Match Point)
3. Catherine Keener (Capote)
4. Rachel Weisz (The Constant Gardener)
5. Michelle Williams (Brokeback Mountain)
ALTERNATE Frances McDormand (North Country)
POTENTIAL SHOCKER Thandie Newton (Crash)
DESERVES TO BE HERE Maria Bello (A History of Violence)
★BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
1. Cinderella Man
2. Crash
3. Good Night, and Good Luck
4. Match Point
5. The Squid and the Whale
ALTERNATE The 40 Year Old Virgin
★BEST ADAPTED ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
1. Brokeback Mountain
2. Capote
3. The Constant Gardener
4. A History of Violence
5. Munich
ALTERNATE Shopgirl
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